A few weeks ago, an asteroid (小行星) almost 30 feet across and flying along at 38,000 miles per hour
flew 28,000 miles above Singapore. Why, you might reasonably ask, should we care about a near miss from
such a tiny rock? Well, I can give you one very good reason: asteroids don't always miss. If even a relatively
little object was to strike a city, millions of people could be wiped out.
Thanks to telescopes that can see ever smaller objects at ever greater distances, we can now predict
erous asteroid impacts decades ahead of time. We can even use current space technology and fairly
spacecraft to alter an asteroid's orbit enough to avoid a collision. We simply need to get this detection-
and-deflection program up and running.
President Obama has already announced a goal of landing astronauts on an asteroid by 2025 as a pioneer
to a human mission to Mars. Asteroids are deep-space bodies, orbiting the Sun, not the Earth, and traveling
to one would mean sending humans into solar orbit for the very first time. Facing those challenges of radiation,
navigation and life support on a months-long trip millions of miles from home would be a perfect learning
journey before a Mars trip.
Near-Earth objects like asteroids and comets-mineral-rich bodies bathed in a continuous flood of sunlight-
may also be the ultimate resource depots for the human being.
To be fair, no one has ever seen the sort of impact that would destroy a city. The most instructive incident
took place in 1908 in the remote Tunguska region of Siberia, when a 120-foot-diameter asteroid exploded
early one morning. It probably killed nothing except reindeer (驯鹿) but it flattened 800 square miles of forest.
Statistically, that kind of occurs every 200 to 300 years.
Luckily, larger asteroids are even fewer and farther between-but think of the asteroid seven to eight miles
across that annihilated the dinosaurs (and 75 percent of all species) 65 million years ago.
Certainly, when it comes to the far more numerous Tunguska- sized objects, to date we think we've
discovered less than a half of I percent of the million or so that cross Earth's orbit every year. We need to
pinpoint (定位) many more of these objects and, predict whether they will hit us before it's too late. With a
readily achievable detection-and-deflection system we can avoid the dinosaurs' fate.